The Wiley Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making.

Intro -- Volume I -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Contributors -- Chapter 1 A Bird's-Eye View of the History of Judgment and Decision Making -- Some Early Historical Milestones -- The Initial Period, 1954-1972 (Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 1974) -- The Second Period (1972-1986) (Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 1988) -- The Third Period (1986-2002) (Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2004) -- The Fourth Period (2002-2014) (Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making, 2015) -- A Bird's-Eye View -- Notes -- References -- Part I The Multiple Facets of Judgment and Decision Making: Traditional Themes -- Chapter 2 Decision Under Risk: : From the Field to the Laboratory and Back -- Introduction: From the Field to the Laboratory -- Modeling Risky Choice -- Alternative Behavioral Models of Risky Choice -- From the Laboratory to the Field -- Conclusion -- Acknowledgments -- References -- Chapter 3 Ambiguity Attitudes -- Introduction -- Ellsberg Urns and Other Operationalizations of Ambiguity -- Stylized Facts From Laboratory Experiments -- Evidence on External Validity of Laboratory Measures -- Conclusion and Outlook -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 4 Multialternative Choice Models -- Introduction -- Facets of the Choice Situation -- Process Distinctions -- Choice Models -- Summary -- References -- Chapter 5 The Psychology of Intertemporal Preferences -- Introduction -- Discounting Behavior -- Psychological Determinants -- Applications of Discounting to Decision Making -- Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- Note -- References -- Chapter 6 Overprecision in Judgment -- Introduction -- Research Paradigms -- The Balance of the Evidence -- Ecological Evidence of Overprecision -- Moderators of Overprecision -- Explanations -- Underprecision -- Debiasing Overprecision.

Incentive-Compatible Scoring Rules for Eliciting Precision in Judgments -- (Mis)Perceiving Expressions of Confidence -- Future Research -- Coda -- References -- Part II Relatively New Themes in Judgment and Decision Making -- Chapter 7 Joint versus Separate Modes of Evaluation: Theory and Practice -- Introduction -- Clarifying Several Issues Concerning Evaluation Mode -- General Evaluability Theory -- Implications of Evaluation Mode and Evaluability -- References -- Chapter 8 Decisions from Experience -- Introduction -- The Description-Experience Gap in Risky Choice -- Sampling Error and the Description-Experience Gap -- Search Policies and the Description-Experience Gap -- The Anatomy of Search in the Sampling Paradigm -- Models of Decisions From Experience -- Probability Weighting and the Description-Experience Gap -- Beyond Monetary Gambles and Beyond a Simple Dichotomy -- The Description-Experience Gap and Risk Communication -- Let Us Not Give Descriptions Short Shrift -- Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References -- Chapter 9 Neurosciences Contribution to Judgment and Decision Making: Opportunities and Limitations -- Introduction -- Methods -- Individual Decision Making -- Social Decision Making -- Limitations -- The Future -- References -- Chapter 10 Utility: Anticipated, Experienced, and Remembered -- Historical Background -- Components and Judgments of Experienced Utility -- Measuring Instant and Total Utility -- Context Dependence -- Maximization Failures -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- References -- Part III New Psychological Takes on Judgment and Decision Making -- Chapter 11 Under the Influence and Unaware: Unconscious Processing During Encoding, Retrieval, and Weighting in Judgment -- Introduction -- Defining Unconscious Influences -- Unconscious Influences on Three Aspects of Judgment.

A Controversy: Questioning Unconscious Effects on Judgment -- Scaling Up Models of Unconscious Decision Making -- Conclusion -- Acknowledgments -- Note -- References -- Chapter 12 Metacognition: Decision making Processes in Self-monitoring and Self-regulation -- Introduction -- Metacognitive Processes During Learning -- Metacognitive Processes During Remembering -- Retrospective Confidence in One's Answers and Judgments -- Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- References -- Chapter 13 Information Sampling and Reasoning Biases: Implications for Research in Judgment and Decision Making -- Introduction -- Manifold Reasons for Biased Sampling -- Sampling Errors and Biases in Judgment and Decision Making -- The Ideal of Unbiased Sampling in a Representative Design -- Unequal Sample Size as a Source of Illusions -- Impact of Hedonic Sampling -- Unbiased Sampling as a Source of Bias: The World We Live In -- Concluding Remark -- Acknowledgment -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 14 On the Psychology of Near and Far: A Construal Level Theoretic Approach -- Introduction -- Mentally Traveling Across Psychological Distance -- On High-Level and Low-Level Features -- Overview of Empirical Evidence -- Impact of Distance-Dependent Construal on Prediction -- Impact of Distance-Dependent Construal on Preferences -- Distinguishing CLT from Other Theoretical Approaches -- Concluding Thoughts -- Note -- References -- Chapter 15 Optimism Biases: Types and Causes -- Introduction -- Terms and Effects -- Optimism in Studies Involving Self-Other Comparisons -- The Desirability Bias -- Conclusion -- Acknowledgment -- References -- Chapter 16 Culture and Judgment and Decision Making -- Introduction -- Risky Decision Making -- Risk Perception -- Intertemporal Choice -- Consistency Between Preferences and Choices -- Causal Attributions -- Conflict Decisions -- Confidence Judgments.

Optimism -- What Counts as a Decision? -- Insights from the Constructivist Approach to Culture and JDM -- Future Research Directions -- Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 17 Moral Judgment and Decision Making -- Introduction -- Attempts to Understand Moral Judgment and Decision Making: Major Research Themes and Their Explananda -- Methodological Desiderata -- Understudied Areas -- Concluding Remarks -- Acknowledgments -- References -- Volume II -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Part IV Old Issues Revisited -- Chapter 18 Time-pressure Perception and Decision Making -- Introduction -- Impact of Time Constraints on Decision Making -- Time-Pressure Perceptions -- Time-Pressure Applications -- Conclusion -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 19 Cognitive Hierarchy Process Models of Strategic Thinking in Games -- Introduction -- Background: What are Games, and What is Game Theory? -- A Behavioral Process Approach: Cognitive Hierarchy -- Conclusions -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 20 Framing of Numerical Quantities -- Introduction -- Risky-Choice Framing -- Attribute Framing -- Frames as Part of the Communication Process -- Who is Susceptible to Framing? -- Framing on Unipolar Scales -- Suggestions for Future Research -- Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 21 Causal Thinking in Judgments -- Introduction -- Basic Causal Concepts and Distinctions -- Fundamental Properties of Causal Reasoning -- Elementary Causal Inferences -- Probabilities From Causes -- Causal Schemas -- Predictions and Diagnoses in Multiple Cause-Effect Schemas -- Judgments of Causes and Effects in a Common-Effect Schema -- Scenarios and Multi-Causal Situation Models -- Causal Cognitions Play a Major Role in Many Researched Judgments -- Causal Reasoning in Choices and Decisions -- So what? -- Acknowledgments -- References.

Chapter 22 Learning Models in Decision Making -- Introduction -- Learning and Risk Taking -- Strategy Selection -- Summary and Conclusion -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 23 Variability, Noise, and Error in Decision Making Under Risk -- Introduction -- Basic Framework -- Extraneous Noise/Error -- Intrinsic Variability -- Interactions Between Different Approaches and Challenges for the Future -- Concluding Remarks -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 24 Expertise in Decision Making -- Introduction -- Defining Expertise -- Research on Expertise: Expertise is Schematic -- The Role of the Environment in the Development of Expertise -- Is General Decision Making Expertise Possible? -- Shortcomings of Expertise -- Using Expertise -- Future Directions -- Notes -- References -- Part V Applications -- Chapter 25 Changing Behavior Beyond the Here and Now -- Introduction -- Intervention-Behavior Lag -- Marginal Benefit to Continued Treatment -- Persistence -- Conclusion -- Acknowledgments -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 26 Decision Making and the Law: Truth Barriers -- Introduction -- The Law Hinders Accurate Decision Making -- Intellectual Deficits of Legal Participants: Harmful Effects of Innumeracy -- Cognitive Biases -- Conclusion -- Notes -- References -- Chapter 27 Medical Decision Making -- Introduction -- Biases and Heuristics and the Effect of Debiasing -- The Role of Uncertainty -- The Role of Affect -- Affective Forecasting -- Decisions for Oneself Versus Decisions for Others -- Nudging -- Literacy and Numeracy -- Support for Complex Decisions: Patient Decision Aids -- Areas for Future Research -- References -- Chapter 28 Behavioral Economics: Economics as a Psychological Discipline -- Introduction -- Public and Health Economics -- Industrial Organization and Consumer Decision Making -- Labor and Education Economics.

Development Economics.

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.