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Crime and the Economy in Mexican States : Heterogeneous Panel Estimates (1993-2012).

By: Contributor(s): Material type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working PapersPublisher: Washington, D. C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015Copyright date: ©2015Edition: 1st edDescription: 1 online resource (60 pages)Content type:
  • text
Media type:
  • computer
Carrier type:
  • online resource
ISBN:
  • 9781513588216
Subject(s): Genre/Form: Additional physical formats: Print version:: Crime and the Economy in Mexican StatesDDC classification:
  • 364
LOC classification:
  • HV6171 .V473 2015
Online resources:
Contents:
Cover -- Contents -- Abstract -- Executive Summary -- I. Introduction -- II. Related Literature on the Relationship Between Crime and Other Economic Activity -- III. Estimation and Identification Strategy -- A. Overview of the Methodology -- B. Overview of the Identification Strategy -- IV. Data Sources -- A. Real GDP for the Period During 1993 to 2012 -- B. Measures of Crime -- Intentional Homicides -- Other Measures -- C. Migration -- D. Foreign Direct Investment -- E. State-Specific Characteristics -- V. Results of the Empirical Analysis -- VI. Summary and Conclusions -- VII. References -- VIII. Technical Appendix for the Chain Linking of Two Real GDP Series in Different Base Years -- Figures -- Figure 1. Select Countries: Intentional Homicide Rates (per 100,000 inhabitants) -- Figure 2. Mexico: Real GDP Growth vs. Homicide Rates -- Figure 3. SVAR Identification Scheme -- Figure 4. Mexico: Comparative Homicide Rates from Different Sources -- Figure 5. Mexico Homicide Rates vs. Incidence of Crime -- Figure 6. State Level Response of GDP to Idiosyncratic Crime Shocks -- Figure 7. State Level Quantiles Response to Idiosyncratic Shocks -- Figure 8. Mexico: Response Patterns -- Figure 9. Approaches for Linking Real GDP Series for Mexican States -- Figure 10. State Level Quantiles Impulse Responses to Idiosyncratic and Common Shocks -- Figure 11. State Level Quantiles Variance Decomposition of Idiosyncratic and Common Shocks -- Tables -- Table 1. GDP Sectors for Years 1993 and 2008 -- Table 2. Names of Mexican States -- Table 3. Data Sources.
Summary: This paper studies the transmission of crime shocks to the economy in a sample of 32 Mexican states over the period from 1993 to 2012. The paper uses a panel structural VAR approach which accounts for the heterogeneity of the dynamic state level responses in GDP, FDI and international migration flows, and measures the transmission via the impulse response of homicide rates. The approach also allows the study of the pattern of economic responses among states. In particular, the percentage of GDP devoted to new construction and the perception of public security are characteristics that are shown to be associated with the sign and magnitude of the responses of economic variables to crime shocks.
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Cover -- Contents -- Abstract -- Executive Summary -- I. Introduction -- II. Related Literature on the Relationship Between Crime and Other Economic Activity -- III. Estimation and Identification Strategy -- A. Overview of the Methodology -- B. Overview of the Identification Strategy -- IV. Data Sources -- A. Real GDP for the Period During 1993 to 2012 -- B. Measures of Crime -- Intentional Homicides -- Other Measures -- C. Migration -- D. Foreign Direct Investment -- E. State-Specific Characteristics -- V. Results of the Empirical Analysis -- VI. Summary and Conclusions -- VII. References -- VIII. Technical Appendix for the Chain Linking of Two Real GDP Series in Different Base Years -- Figures -- Figure 1. Select Countries: Intentional Homicide Rates (per 100,000 inhabitants) -- Figure 2. Mexico: Real GDP Growth vs. Homicide Rates -- Figure 3. SVAR Identification Scheme -- Figure 4. Mexico: Comparative Homicide Rates from Different Sources -- Figure 5. Mexico Homicide Rates vs. Incidence of Crime -- Figure 6. State Level Response of GDP to Idiosyncratic Crime Shocks -- Figure 7. State Level Quantiles Response to Idiosyncratic Shocks -- Figure 8. Mexico: Response Patterns -- Figure 9. Approaches for Linking Real GDP Series for Mexican States -- Figure 10. State Level Quantiles Impulse Responses to Idiosyncratic and Common Shocks -- Figure 11. State Level Quantiles Variance Decomposition of Idiosyncratic and Common Shocks -- Tables -- Table 1. GDP Sectors for Years 1993 and 2008 -- Table 2. Names of Mexican States -- Table 3. Data Sources.

This paper studies the transmission of crime shocks to the economy in a sample of 32 Mexican states over the period from 1993 to 2012. The paper uses a panel structural VAR approach which accounts for the heterogeneity of the dynamic state level responses in GDP, FDI and international migration flows, and measures the transmission via the impulse response of homicide rates. The approach also allows the study of the pattern of economic responses among states. In particular, the percentage of GDP devoted to new construction and the perception of public security are characteristics that are shown to be associated with the sign and magnitude of the responses of economic variables to crime shocks.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.

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