Forest Insect Population Dynamics, Outbreaks, and Global Warming Effects.

Intro -- Title page -- Copyright page -- Authors -- Introduction -- Chapter 1: Population Dynamics of Forest Insects: Outbreaks in Forest Ecosystems -- 1.1 Approaches to modeling population dynamics of forest insects -- 1.2 The role of insects in the forest ecosystem -- 1.3 The phenomenological theory of forest insect population dynamics: the principle of stability of flexible ecological systems -- 1.4 Classification of the factors of forest insect population dynamics -- 1.5 Delayed and direct regulation mechanisms -- Chapter 2: Ways of Presenting Data on Forest Insect Population Dynamics -- 2.1 Representation of population dynamics data -- 2.2 Presenting the data on forest insect population dynamics through changes in density over time -- 2.3 Presenting the data on population dynamics as a phase portrait -- 2.4 The probability of the population leaving the stability zone and reaching an outbreak density: A model of a one-dimensional potential well -- 2.5 Presenting the data on forest insect population dynamics as a potential function -- Chapter 3: The Effects of Weather Factors on Population Dynamics of Forest Defoliating Insects -- 3.1 The necessary and sufficient weather conditions for the development of outbreaks of defoliating insects in Siberia -- 3.2 Weather influence on the development of the pine looper Bupalus piniarius L. outbreaks -- 3.3 Siberian silk moth Dendrolimus sibiricus Tschetv. population dynamics as related to weather conditions -- 3.4 Synchronization of weather conditions on vast areas as a factor of the occurrence of pan-regional outbreaks -- Chapter 4: Spatial and Temporal Coherence of Forest Insect Population Dynamics -- 4.1 Coherence and synchronicity of population dynamics -- 4.2 Spatiotemporal coherence of the population dynamics of defoliating insects in pine forests of Middle Siberia.

4.3 Spatiotemporal coherence of population dynamics of defoliating insects in the Alps -- 4.4 Global coherence of pine looper population dynamics in Eurasia -- 4.5 Synchronization of the time series of gypsy moth population dynamics in the South Urals -- Chapter 5: Interactions Between Phytophagous Insects and Their Natural Enemies and Population Dynamics of Phytophagous Insects During Outbreaks -- 5.1 Entomophagous organisms as a regulating factor in forest insect population dynamics -- 5.2 A "phytophagous - entomophagous insect" model -- Chapter 6: Food Consumption by Forest Insects -- 6.1 Energy balance of food consumption by insects: an optimization model -- 6.2 A population-energy model of insect outbreaks -- Chapter 7: AR- and ADL-models of Forest Insect Population Dynamics -- 7.1 An ADL-model (autoregressive distributed lag) of insect population dynamics -- 7.2 A model of population dynamics of the gypsy moth in the South Urals -- 7.3 Modeling population dynamics of the larch bud moth in the Alps -- 7.4 Simulation models of population dynamics of defoliating insects in the Krasnoturansk pine forest -- 7.5 Modeling and predicting population dynamics of the European oak leaf-roller -- 7.6 Gain margin of the AR-models of forest insect population dynamics -- Chapter 8: Modeling of Population Dynamics and Outbreaks of Forest Insects as Phase Transitions -- 8.1 Models of phase transitions for describing critical events in complex systems -- 8.2 Population buildup and development of an outbreak of forest insects as a first-order phase transition -- 8.3 Possible mechanisms of the development of forest insect outbreaks -- 8.4 Colonization of the tree stands by forest insects as a second-order phase transition -- 8.5 Risks of elimination of the population from the community.

Chapter 9: Forecasting Population Dynamics and Assessing the Risk of Damage to Tree Stands Caused by Outbreaks of Forest Defoliating Insects -- 9.1 Methods of forecasting forest insect population dynamics -- 9.2 Long-term forecast of population dynamics of defoliating insects -- 9.3 Assessment of the maximum risk of damage to tree stands caused by insects -- 9.4 Modeling and forecasting of eastern spruce budworm population dynamics -- Chapter 10: Global Warming and Risks of Forest Insect Outbreaks -- 10.1 Climate change and forest insect outbreaks in the Siberian taiga -- 10.2 Stress testing of insect impact on forest ecosystems under different scenarios of climate changes in the Siberian taiga -- 10.3 Risks of outbreaks of forest insect species with the stable type of population dynamics -- Conclusion -- References -- Index -- End User License Agreement.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.