Lempert, Robert J.

Defense Resource Planning under Uncertainty : An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning. - 1st ed. - 1 online resource (109 pages) - Research Reports; Series ; v.RR-1112-OSD . - Research Reports; Series .

Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- Planning with Predictive Failure -- Munitions Mix Challenge -- Organization of This Report -- CHAPTER TWO: The RDM Approach to Munitions Mix Planning -- Comparison of RDM and Traditional Analysis -- RDM Enables Decision Makers to Discover Robust Strategies Through Iteration -- XLRM Factors Shape the Design of the Experiment -- CHAPTER THREE: RDM Munitions Mix Analysis -- Initial Analysis of a Broad Range of Munitions Mix Strategies -- Analysis of Potentially More Robust Munitions Mix Strategies -- Stress-Testing of Strategies over Many Futures -- Scenarios That Illuminate the Vulnerabilities of Strategies -- Performance of Big+Deter-Mixed Strategy in the Moderate Scenario -- Performance of the Big+Deter-Mixed Strategy in the Extreme Scenario -- Future Focus on Purchase Rules in Addition to Portfolio Goals -- CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusions -- A Robust Munitions Mix Strategy -- The Future of RDM in Defense Planning -- APPENDIXES -- A. The Weapons on Target Model -- B. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN -- C. Data -- References.

9780833093059


United States.--Department of Defense--Appropriations and expenditures.
Decision making.
United States--Armed Forces--Procurement.
United States--Armed Forces--Weapons systems.
United States--Armed Forces--Equipment.
United States--Armed Forces--Ordnance and ordnance stores.


Electronic books.

UA23.3 .D444 2016

353.6