Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment : A Call for Change.

Intro -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- Summary -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Critical Contribution of Risk Analysis to Risk Management and Reduction of Bioterrorism Risk -- 3 Description and Analysis of the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment of 2006 -- 4 Department of Homeland Security Decision Requirements for Risk Management -- 5 Risk Assessment for Unknown and Engineered Biothreat Agents -- 6 Improving Bioterrorism Consequence Assessment -- 7 Improving the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment and Adding Risk Management -- Appendix A: Lexicon -- Appendix B: Mathematical Characterization of the Biological Threat Risk Assessment Event Tree and Risk Assessment -- Appendix C: Computational Example Illustrating the Replacement of a Joint Distribution of Arc Probabilities with Marginal Expected Values of Individual Arc Probabilities -- Appendix D: Bioterrorism Risk Analysis with Decision Trees -- Appendix E: Optimizing Department of Homeland Security Defense Investments: Applying Defender-Attacker (-Defender) Optimization to Terror Risk Assessment and Mitigation -- Appendix F: Combining Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism: A Smallpox Example -- Appendix G: On the Quantification of Uncertainty and Enhancing Probabilistic Risk Analysis -- Appendix H: Game Theory and Interdependencies -- Appendix I: Review of BTRA Modeling -- Appendix J: Reprinted Interim Report -- Appendix K: Meeting Agendas -- Appendix L: Biographies of Committee Members -- Appendix M: Acronyms.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.