Knowledge in Risk Assessment and Management.

Intro -- Title Page -- Table of Contents -- List of Contributors -- Preface -- Acknowledgements -- Part I: Fundamental Ideas, Principles and Approaches -- 1 Risk Assessment with Broad Uncertainty and Knowledge Characterisation -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 The Case Study -- 1.3 Planning of the Risk Assessment -- 1.4 Execution of the Risk Assessment -- 1.5 Use of the Risk Assessment -- 1.6 Discussion -- 1.7 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- Appendix -- 2 The Enigma of Knowledge in the Risk Field -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Introduction to Case Studies -- 2.3 Perspectives on Knowledge -- 2.4 Discussion - New Insights for the Risk Analysis Field -- 2.5 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- 3 Treatment and Communication of Uncertain Assumptions in (Semi‐)quantitative Risk Assessments -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 A Formal Setup Connecting Risk and Related Concepts -- 3.3 Example -- 3.4 Systematising Uncertain Assumptions -- 3.5 Uncertain Assumptions in Risk Assessments: The Risk Analyst Perspective -- 3.6 Communicating Uncertain Assumptions -- 3.7 Uncertain Assumptions in Risk Management: The Risk Manager Perspective -- 3.8 Discussion and Concluding Remarks -- Acknowledgements -- References -- Appendix -- 4 Critical Slowing‐down Framework for Monitoring Early Warning Signs of Surprise and Unforeseen Events -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 System Dynamics and Critical Slowing‐down Signals -- 4.3 EWS‐SUE Monitoring Framework -- 4.4 Illustrative Examples -- 4.5 Some Reflections on Illustrative Examples -- 4.6 Summary and Conclusions -- References -- 5 Improving the Foundation and Practice of Uncertainty Analysis -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 The Uncertainty Analysis Framework -- 5.3 Use of the Framework: An Example -- 5.4 Discussion -- 5.5 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- 6 Completeness Uncertainty -- 6.1 Introduction.

6.2 Completeness Uncertainty in Detail -- 6.3 Understanding and Treating "Completeness Uncertainty" -- 6.4 Risk Sources as Model Uncertainty -- 6.5 Discussion -- 6.6 Conclusion -- Acknowledgements -- References -- 7 Quality of Risk Assessment -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Example -- 7.3 Theoretical Formulation of the Challenge -- 7.4 Reliability and Validity Issues -- 7.5 Knowledge Issues -- 7.6 Discussion -- 7.7 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- 8 Knowledge‐driven System Simulation for Scenario Analysis in Risk Assessment -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 Problem Statement -- 8.3 State of the Art -- 8.4 Proposed Approaches -- 8.5 Conclusions -- References -- Appendix 8.A -- Part II: Risk Assessment and Decision Making -- 9 A Decision Support Method for Prioritizing Investments Subject to Uncertainties -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Set‐up -- 9.3 Method -- 9.4 Example -- 9.5 Discussion -- 9.6 Conclusions -- References -- 10 Risk Analysis under Structural Uncertainty -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 The Ten Components of Structuring -- 10.3 Discussion -- 10.4 Conclusion -- References -- Part III: Applications -- 11 A Practical Approach to Risk Assessments from Design to Operation of Offshore Oil and Gas Installations -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Example Case -- 11.3 The Traditional Approach -- 11.4 The Alternative Approach -- 11.5 Input to Evaluation in Design, Operation and Barrier Management -- 11.6 Discussion -- 11.7 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References -- 12 A Semi‐quantitative Approach for Assessment of Risk Trends in the Norwegian Oil and Gas Industry -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Review of Trend Detection Method -- 12.3 Discussion of the Current Trend Detection Method -- 12.4 A Semi‐quantitative Approach for Assessment of Risk Trends -- 12.5 Example: Application of the Extended Approach -- 12.6 Conclusions -- Acknowledgements -- References.

13 Knowledge Engineering at a Risk‐informed Regulatory Agency -- 13.1 Introduction -- 13.2 Risk‐related KE Challenges from a User's Perspective -- 13.3 The Promise of Advancing Technology -- 13.4 A Recent Exploration -- 13.5 Conclusions and Suggestions for Future Developments -- Acknowledgements -- References -- Index -- End User License Agreement.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.