Defense Resource Planning under Uncertainty : An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning.

Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- CHAPTER ONE: Introduction -- Planning with Predictive Failure -- Munitions Mix Challenge -- Organization of This Report -- CHAPTER TWO: The RDM Approach to Munitions Mix Planning -- Comparison of RDM and Traditional Analysis -- RDM Enables Decision Makers to Discover Robust Strategies Through Iteration -- XLRM Factors Shape the Design of the Experiment -- CHAPTER THREE: RDM Munitions Mix Analysis -- Initial Analysis of a Broad Range of Munitions Mix Strategies -- Analysis of Potentially More Robust Munitions Mix Strategies -- Stress-Testing of Strategies over Many Futures -- Scenarios That Illuminate the Vulnerabilities of Strategies -- Performance of Big+Deter-Mixed Strategy in the Moderate Scenario -- Performance of the Big+Deter-Mixed Strategy in the Extreme Scenario -- Future Focus on Purchase Rules in Addition to Portfolio Goals -- CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusions -- A Robust Munitions Mix Strategy -- The Future of RDM in Defense Planning -- APPENDIXES -- A. The Weapons on Target Model -- B. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN -- C. Data -- References.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2024. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.